The Actual War Goals are Too Evil to Say.
That's why the government won't tell us what they are.
Many Americans have been waiting for the government to announce what its Iran war plans are, but with the Iranian governments’s refusal to immediately surrender, the government is scared to admit its goals because it knows the public will not approve. We are told that the goal is regime change, but are we to also believe that hapless US/Israel bombers and target pickers accidentally foiled the government’s plans by killing so many of the potential Iranian successor leaders. Or is this a perhaps a sign that Israel and the US actually intended to kill the multiple layers of Iranian senior leaders they bombed?1
Stated Goal: “Regime Change”
The US and Israel may have differing goals. I suspect that the US interests in Iran might be satisfied by replacing the leadership with a government more favorable to the US and Israel.
Actual Goal: “Staticide”: Killing the State of Iran
.. but I’ve heard Israel may have a more sinister strategy that involves not just the overthrowing of the Iranian leadership and replacing them with a puppet government, but rather creating a “failed Iranian state” organized by ethnic division:
the engineering of civil war in Iran, leading to
the destruction of the Iranian state and
the fragmenting of the country into multiple countries defined by ethnic group.2
Israeli: Dominance over Middle East
The purpose of this strategy is to eliminate Iran as a potential competitor with Israel for dominance over the middle east region.3 Additionally, there are those in the US and Israel that welcome an Apocalyptic War and see an opportunity to expel Palestinians from their homeland.4
Professor Jiang Xueqin5 had laid out this scenario a year ago and I look forward to watching all his videos on this topic.
One of the main themes of Episode 9 is that Iran will respond by attacking Gulf Countries that host US bases and kick the US out of the Gulf, forcing the foreign labor force to flee. Because 60%-90% of the water in the Gulf is provided by desalination plants and 70-80% of the food is imported via the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has leverage to expel the US presence from the Gulf.
This has major significance, because these oil producers are the lynchpin of the Petrodollar, which maintains demand for the US currency, as well as demand for US debt.
Create Ethnic Enclaves
The Kurds have not had a state of their own and the US has previously used statehood as a carrot to give them leverage with the Kurds to fight for US interests. Each time, the US has betrayed the Kurds.6 The hope is that the US can again use these experienced Kurdish fighters against Iran, with the hope that this will prompt other Iranian ethnic groups to fight for their independence.
Like the Gulf States, Iran suffers from a shortage of water. The Israeli/US strategy is to exploit this scarcity to get the different ethnic groups to fight each other over water and independence. The water shortage is perpetual, leading potentially to a refugee crisis and perpetual fighting.
Divide and Rule
I wrote an article on “Divide and Rule” that captures one of the strategies that is being applied to Iran, and which I believe is under appreciated in its application in the US, ranging from US racial division, exploiting identity differences, and Professional Managerial Class gatekeeping.7
Elsewhere:
Can Israel & the U.S. Sustain Iran’s Military Power? (w/ Alastair Crooke) on “The Chris Hedges Report”
Chas Freeman: Iran’s Strategy in the US-Israel War | Why Pezeshkian Halted Strikes on Gulf States (Greater Israel Supremacy vs “Ali’s Rope-a-dope”)
Lawrence Wilkerson says the US does not know what it is getting into and that Netanyahu risks global war because he wants chaos so he can run freely from Turkey to eastern Africa.
Comment:
The war is going so poorly Trump will have to start releasing Epstein files just to distract from it.
Trump is killing schoolgirls to hide the abuse of schoolgirls
FOOTNOTES:
“And there is, as of today, no publicly stated definition of what winning this war looks like. Trump, when asked about post-war leadership in Iran, noted that most of the people they had in mind to take over were killed in the strikes. That’s not a plan hitting obstacles. That’s evidence there wasn’t a plan.” Thomas Karat When the Mask Slips: What Rubio’s Confession Means For You
Alistair Crooke said that there are already separate constitutions drafted for these new self-sufficient states, organized on ethnic divisions, to leave Iran weakened and in chaos, like we see in Syria. That is not the US approach, which is regime change.
The US is said to have broader geo-strategic goals of protecting its hegemonic status, relative to Russia, and especially China.
Conservative commentator Tucker Carlson has warned of an Apocalyptic Religious war. His interviewee, Brandon Wicker, says Trump should declare victory and withdraw from the war.
Professor Jiang Xueqin is a Chinese-Canadian professor who has a M.A. in English Literature from Yale.
“[T]here are roughly five to eight distinct instances (depending on how you group specific conflicts) where the Kurds allied with the U.S. and did not achieve an independent state.”
1972-1975: The CIA and Iran backed Iraqi Kurds against Saddam Hussein to weaken Iraq. | Result: The U.S. halted support after Iran and Iraq signed a border agreement; the Kurdish rebellion collapsed.
1991: Following the Gulf War, the U.S. encouraged an uprising against Saddam Hussein. | Result: The U.S. did not intervene militarily during the immediate crackdown, leading to a massive refugee crisis (though a No-Fly Zone was eventually established).
2003–2017: The Iraq War and the subsequent fight against ISIS. | Result: While Kurds gained significant autonomy in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), their 2017 independence referendum was not supported by the U.S. and resulted in territory loss.
2014–Present: The Syrian Civil War (SDF/YPG) and the fight against ISIS. | Result: The U.S. partnered with Syrian Kurds to defeat the caliphate, but later withdrew from parts of the border in 2019, leading to Turkish incursions. A sovereign Kurdish state remains unformed.
Project for a New American Century: deliberate balkanization with managed conflict
“I was going to mention to him the the idea of someone like Lindsey Graham or uh Rubio for that matter or Netanyahu being okay with a Balkanized Iran um with multiple waring factions is um a mini version of what the Project for New American Century document was that was written in the wake of the first Iraq war by folks like Dick Cheney and uh Pearl and Wolfitz I think was in writing and um uh uh Feith was uh Doug Feith I think it was his name uh these names I haven’t said in you know 15 years and the project for New American Century was the contemplation by the neocons that America could become a hyperpower and that the rest of the world would be invol what would happen is there would be no other superpower to uh contest with us. We would be a hyperpower that would oversee a world with a bunch of regional conflicts. And those regional conflicts would be both containable but also serve to prevent any type of coalition or buildup of power that would challenge us and we would have a somewhat pax but totally Americana in terms of over the entire lobe by having that hegemony that was enhanced by low-level conflicts. And so the idea of a Balkanized Iran that would be helpful to Israel just means like nobody can coalesce and deal with our power.”
.. The American colonists played the different tribes against one another.